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Analysis of exchange rate trendThe General Office of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government issued the Action Plan for Shanghai to Support the Merger and Reorganization of Listed Companies (2025-2027). Among them, it is proposed to strive to land a number of representative M&A cases in key industries by 2027, and cultivate about 10 internationally competitive listed companies in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and new materials, forming a scale of M&A transactions of 300 billion yuan and activating total assets of over 2 trillion yuan.Thanks to the huge favorable blessing, today's market is once again anticlimactic, which once again disappoints retail investors. It is not surprising to say that the accident is not once or twice. But objectively speaking, this positive is indeed a real positive, and it is a medium-and long-term positive. I think we still have to treat it rationally, and institutions need to understand and reflect well. Is it necessary to go its own way? Today's trend can be said to be very ugly, so will the market have a big repair tomorrow? Let's analyze it in detail below.

Specifically, it includes the following points: 1. Landing a number of representative M&A cases in key industries; 2. Sort out the list of main enterprises in the listed chain of key industries; 3. Promote the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries; 4. Sort out the list of potential key M&A target enterprises; 5, the establishment of 10 billion yuan biomedical industry M&A fund; 6. Accelerate the merger of securities companies; 7. Explore innovative pilot projects for domestic technology-based enterprises to participate in M&A loans; 8. Improve M&A service efficiency and regulatory inclusiveness.The latest high-level tuningListed companies can achieve extensive growth through mergers and acquisitions, and mergers and acquisitions have a positive effect on the overall share price of A-share listed companies as bidders. With the continuous increase of China's M&A support policies since 2024, the A-share market is expected to usher in a big era of M&A. The last merger and reorganization was so hot in 2014. Is this also a sign that the market will go bullish in the future?

It is not difficult to see from recent speeches and a series of policies that we are still very confident about the target of 5% this year. If it can be successfully completed, it will greatly enhance the confidence of the market. The biggest problem in the current market is not that retail investors don't believe that the market can go well. Even if retail investors do, there is nothing they can do. The key is that institutions don't believe that the market can go well and lack confidence in the future. Otherwise, the market will not go anticlimactic today. If domestic institutions don't continue to smash the market, the market will not go so ugly in the afternoon.At present, all policies are winning numbers's, and they are constantly exerting their strength, and the medium and long-term trends are also intact, so we are still optimistic in the medium and long term. For short-term fluctuations, we should keep calm, see the trend clearly and grasp the key points, so that we can calmly handle complex trends.The securities sector is still the key to tomorrow. Today, it is also high and low. At present, it has not fallen below the offensive line, and the short-term trend remains intact. If it falls again tomorrow, it will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will initially weaken. We should pay attention to short-term risks and control our positions.